Promotion gate: 3–5 years of daily-bar replay, positive expectancy in R, a 95% confidence interval excluding zero, and at least 40 trades. Candidates that miss stay listed.
Expectancy in R per trade with the 95% confidence interval from each strategy's longest daily-bar replay. Select a strategy for Lisa's lesson, the transcript, its rules, and the closed-trade record.
Buys 2-period RSI below 5 in uptrending large caps and sector ETFs, exits on a close above the 5-day average or after 10 sessions. Stop at 2x ATR(14).
Universe: S&P 500 large caps + liquid ETFs
Buys 20-day closing-range breakouts in S&P 500 large caps when price is above the 200-day average and relative strength versus SPY is in the top quintile. Stop at 1.5x ATR(14) below entry, first target at 2R.
Universe: S&P 500 large caps + liquid ETFs
Accumulates high-return-on-capital large caps on pullbacks to the rising 50-week average. Multi-quarter hold, thesis invalidated on a weekly close below the 200-week average.
Universe: S&P 500 large caps + liquid ETFs
Replay pending.
Rotates into the three strongest sector ETFs by 6-month absolute momentum, rebalanced monthly, hedged with IWM when SPY closes below its 200-day average.
Universe: S&P 500 large caps + liquid ETFs
Long-term core investment positions held in Steve D's portfolio, entered January 1, 2026.
Universe: S&P 500 large caps + liquid ETFs
Replay pending.
Fades post-event implied-volatility spikes in liquid large caps. Currently in replay, has not cleared the gate.
Universe: S&P 500 large caps + liquid ETFs
Replay pending.
On SPY, QQQ and IWM: when a daily candle prints a lower wick of at least 40% of the full session range while price holds above the 200-day average, enter long on the signal close. Stop at the signal-day low, first target 1.5R, risk 1R per trade. Invalidated by a daily close below the stop or a new 20-day low in advance/decline breadth while the position is open. Expected hold 2 to 20 sessions.
Universe: SPY, QQQ, IWM